Here's the spreadsheet for round 10 - and regular readers will know that the spreadsheet has two components to each pick - a raw SONAS (or rating) calculation and then a comparision against previous matches.
This week we have 6 of the 8 games are favoured as win picks :
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- Home wins for Port Adelaide, Sydney, West Coast are all picked by both sides of the sheet.
- Adelaide are picked to beat Melbourne despite the inter-state trip.
- Wins also for "Neutral" games with St Kilda winning an upset, and the Western Bulldogs beating Carlton.
Line (Handicap) bets are considered worth playing on :
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- Fremantle +14 (sheet says they lose by only 3)
- Port Adelaide -7 (sheet says they win by 24)
- St Kilda +24 (sheet thinks that they MIGHT win outright)
Remember though - the sheet is still a work in progress and has a few issues to work though - specifically it knows nothing about injuries, returns, or suspended players.
Also the sheet has three ratings (home, neutral, away) for each side ... so if a side had a great AWAY win (eg Geelong) then it does not help their "Neutral" rating much.
Ok so there are the picks - let's see how it goes this weekend.
Good luck to all punters.
(You can find our weekly match previews on our Aussie Rules match previews page on the main site)
