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Friday, May 04, 2007

The Sheet - England 5-7 May

Weekend Statistical Spreadsheet




First off let's discuss some situational things to consider that the sheet knows nothing about as there are 3 games where situational issues might make the "normal % calculations" less than accurate.

Man City v Man United
City love to tweak the nose of their more famous neighbours and have won this derby three times in the last five occasions (including 3-1 last season).

West Ham v Bolton
West Ham are on an emotional high after last weeks win and there is talk of a "great escape". Also at this stage a draw doesn't really suit with West Ham or Bolton.

Arsenal v Chelsea
Chelsea are tired and shagged out after a string of weekend/midweek games and must be a little down after dipping out in Europe and likely to lose their league crown too.

With that in mind here are the picks :

Likely Winners :
-----------------

Reading (78%) to beat Watford @ 1.46 at Centrebet
Everton (66%) to beat Portsmouth @ 2.00 at Globet

Value Bets :
-----------------

Everton (66%) to beat Portsmouth @ 2.00 at Globet (132% value)
Newcastle (50%) to beat Blackburn @ 2.30 at Globet (115% value)
Reading (78%) to beat Watford @ 1.46 at Centrebet (113% value)
Arsenal (51%) to beat Chelsea @ 2.85 at Eurobet (144% value)
Charlton (39%) to beat Tottenham @ 3.10 at Centrebet (119% value)

Middlesbro (38%) to win at Wigan at 3.60 at Centrebet (136% value)

good luck with your punts.