I've been burning the midnight oil this week in order to get the Euro2008 betting sheet out early - and it has been released onto the forum.
But as a special bonus - well also post it here (just click the graphic for a full sized version). IF you've got any questions or comments then get onto the forum thread and we can talk about it.
HOW TO READ THE SHEET
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Basically there are two styles of betting - "likely winners" and "value betting".
1) LIKELY WINNERS SYSTEM
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These are indicated by the + (home win) and - (away win) characters in the to PK columns.
The Kulhavy rating show the estimated strength of the two sides, with the MAR being the predicted margin where 100 points = 1 full goal.
The RES portion shows the previous results of similar rated games - where the OBS column show the total number of previous games.
You will find 8 home wins and 3 away wins predicted as "likely winners" this weekend.
A word of warning - while the likely winners can be profitable - if you can correctly select the right picks - it is difficult to make a long term profit if you are taking bets that are underpriced.
I would not recommend taking bets where the value % number is 85% or below - and these are indicated in red ink on the spreadsheet.
2) DISCOVERED VALUE SYSTEM
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Regular readers will know that this is my preferred system - as the prices are better - but you have to be warned that these are not banker bets.
So in my opinion it is far better to place smaller stakes on EVERY value bet - and wait for probability to do it's thing - rather than risk it all on one or two choices that may not come in.
The discovered value bets are indicated with a "sickly green" background - showing the odds / the potential value / and the bookmaker.
Discovered value suggests 2 home wins, 6 draws and 3 away wins this weekend as being over-priced at the bookmakers.
Good luck with whatever you're betting on.